Is opening CSGO cases profitable? (2024)

You are most likely here because you are debating going down the rabbit hole of opening CSGO cases and are wondering if it’s profitable.

Let me tell you, once you open that first case; you’re done. You are forever grasping redemption from the last case.

Today, we shall share the confirmed odds of that gold passing your screen.

Knife or Gloves, what are the odds?

Is opening CSGO cases profitable? (1)

Well, your chances aren’t so high.

If you want an exact percentage of the chance of opening a knife or gloves per case, it would be 0.25575% per case. If you tried to unbox a stat track knife, that’d be around a 0.02558% chance per case.

So, mathematically, you will need to open around 390 cases before getting a knife.

Therefore, 390 cases are $975, with keys priced at $2.50. So moral of the story, guys, buy the knife outright!

Seriously, imagine spending $975 on a Navaja knife. Don’t be that guy.

Reds, Pinks, Purples, what are the odds?

Is opening CSGO cases profitable? (2)

If you thought the knife/gloves odds were terrible, get a load of this chart; this is accurate data.

This chart was made possible due to the “loot crate law” from China’s ministry of culture in 2016, where publishers were requested, by law, to display their loot crate odds or have them removed.

Therefore, if you want even to achieve winning a red “covert” skin, you have a 1 in 156 chance of even scoring a red! This is one of the only “guaranteed” profitable skin types in all cases.

Is opening CSGO cases profitable? (3)

Even purple “restricted” and pink “classified” skins, which you typically won’t even profit from the odds, are still 3.1% and 15.9%, which when you actually logically think about it is ridiculously low.

As you can see in the image, there are examples of restricted and classified skins, all fluctuating thinly between the lines of losing and winning money—all at the expense of a minimum 16% chance.

Don’t forget; these CSGO cases are $2.5 each.

The story concludes that you should buy your skins; statically, it is significantly cheaper. Opening CSGO cases to get the skins you want is not profitable. At all.

But who knows, maybe it’s your lucky day.

Is opening CSGO cases profitable? (2024)

FAQs

Is opening CSGO cases profitable? ›

Is it worth it to open cases in CS:GO? It really isn't. The chances of you opening an expensive skin or a rare knife are really slim. You're more likely to get an item that is worth much less than the price of the key.

Can you profit from opening CS:GO cases? ›

Of course, it's possible you get very lucky, and open a Knife with your first case, making a massive profit. But, the odds of this are very low. Instead, you should simply buy the skins that you want from the Steam Market or third-party sites, rather than spending money on cases.

What is the most profitable CS:GO case to open? ›

Operation Broken Fang Case

This case is definitely worth your attention if you like dark colors and designs. Besides The Operation Broken Fang Case is considered to be one of the most profitable and best CS:GO cases to open. Operation Broken Fang Case contains one of the following: M4A1-S | Printstream.

Can you make money off of CS:GO crates? ›

While this depends on the type of case that you open, you should never expect to open CS:GO cases and make a profit. The odds are inherently stacked against you getting a great drop from a case, even if you open many of them. That's why it's important you only open as many cases as you can afford to.

Are opening CS:GO cases worth it? ›

Given the price of the case and the key, you lose, on average, 60-70% of your money with any case. So, if you spent $100 on cases, you will receive approximately $30-$40 in value, with average luck. Of course, it's possible you get very lucky, and open a Knife with your first case, making a massive profit.

Is investing in CS:GO cases worth it? ›

Please, I beg of you, do not open cases. It is an absolute waste of money as the odds of getting a nice skin or knife is less than 1%. You will always get the worst skins in the worst wear. If you want a particular skin, go to opskins or bitskins and purchase them.

Which CS:GO case has the best ROI? ›

Best CS:GO cases to open
CasePrice (+ Key)ROI %
CS:GO Weapon Case 2$14.79 (+$2.49)60.18%
Operation Wildfire Case$2.18 (+$2.49)58.27%
CS:GO Weapon Case 3$8.75 (+$2.49)53.85%
eSports 2013 Winter Case$8.92 (+$2.49)52.15%
1 more row
Sep 8, 2023

What is the highest paid item in CS:GO? ›

AK-47 – Case Hardened (661)

If this AK has Titan stickers on it, the price might rise to more over $100,000. A StatTrak Minimal Wear 661 AK-47 with four Titan Holos sold for $400,000. This makes it the most expensive single skin ever sold in CS:GO.

Which CS:GO case is best to invest in? ›

The Best CS:GO Cases to Open in 2023
  • Glove Case. ...
  • Gamma Case. ...
  • Winter Offensive Weapon Case. ...
  • Recoil Case. ...
  • Prisma 2 Case. ...
  • Prisma Case. ...
  • Danger Zone Case. ...
  • Operation Hydra Case. The Operation Hydra Case is the last one best CS:GO case in our list.
Mar 17, 2023

What are the odds of getting a red in CS:GO? ›

Navy Blue (Rare) – 79.92% Purple (Mythical) – 15.98% Hot Pink (Legendary) – 3.2% Red (Ancient) – 0.64%

Is it illegal to sell CS:GO skins for money? ›

On paper, it is illegal to sell skins outside csgo. Valve has the right to shut down your account or sue for legal damages if you do so. Seeing the many trading websites around (bitskins, DPmarket, etc) I believe valve is not taking action since they have all profit together.

How much does CS:GO make per day? ›

Anomaly estimated that between May 2021 and January 2023, a total of 458 million cases were opened by players. Divided across 641 individual days, that works out to 714,509 cases per day. Given that a case costs $2.50 to open, that means Valve are raking in up to $1,786,271.45 every day.

How many CS cases are opened a day? ›

Data on the opening of cases vary from month to month, but if you calculate the average number, more than 21 million cases are opened per month. And this number already looks enormous. Players open about 714 thousand cases daily. Using this data, Anomaly calculated how many rare items appear on the market monthly.

How much does Steam make off CS:GO cases? ›

Join us as we examine how Valve have reportedly managed to make $54 million every month off of in-game case purchases alone.

How to sell CS:GO cases for real money? ›

Login to a CSGO trading site that supports PayPal like SkinCashier or SkinSwap. Select the inventory you want to sell from your account. Proceed to sell it and accept the trade offer. Once the sale is finalized and you receive payment in your account, choose PayPal as your preferred option for withdrawal.

Is CS money profitable? ›

To sum it all, it's always profitable to trade skins on CS. MONEY, but there are times when it can bring you even more profit. Among other things, you can get a bonus by trading a new finish or take a risk by investing into a buffed weapon. Sign up for our newsletter, and you won't miss other stuff from the CS.

Can you buy cases on CS money? ›

The game has a clear list of cases that drop out regularly. You can buy all of them at CS. MONEY, just copy and paste their names into the search bar.

How can you earn CS:GO cases? ›

Case drops are also rewarded after 3-4 hours of gameplay, which roughly equates to 4-5 long matches of competitive and have nothing to do with your rank, service level, in-game performance or game mode, although you need a prime account to be alliable to get case drops.

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